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From CMOpedia

Judgement

The player judgement is a simplified value depending on a large amount of attributes. There are only a few steps in the judgement scale which means there are a variety of players within the same judgement. The value of an attribute changes during a season both up and down depending on training, matches and season update. A change of attributes affects the judgement so the judgement varies throughout a season as well.

Potential is simplified the judgement a player can reach through training and matches. The potential is however not an unchangeable value and it is possible for a player to achieve a higher judgement than the potential, more information below.

Season update

During a season update a player can receive a new potential based on what/how he has trained and also based on how many matches he has taken part in. The longer a player coached well the higher the chances are for an increase in potential during season update. The effect of the training during the following days could therefore be greater than before the season update. This effect can of course be both positive and negative.

Above average trained

There can be cases of players who are trained above average and this means that some players are achieving judgement or attributes that are over their normal potential. If anything changes with the player; becomes unhappy, doesn't play matches or experience a season update, then it will show a lot more in the training results since that player is now trying to get back to a normal level. This is more prominent in the worlds that have a lot of active managers. It’s harder to keep a player on a judgement that is over the player potential and as the player gets older this will become even harder. His ability to train properly and play matches is a very important part of his possibility to achieve and keep this state.

Training

Training your players is a very important part of the game. You have to find the best training for each of your players, not just in what they train but also to what degree you train them. You also have to take into consideration that if your team is playing a lot of matches the players will not train as often and well. If you then set up some additional friendly matches there will not be much room for proper training. If a player has trained with the same schedule for a long time then you should try to change it. Some players will reach the top of some attributes before the season is over and a good way can be to train other attributes for those players.

New player database

When the player database is updated there will be a lot of attribute and judgement changes, for better or worse. These changes might influence the training and the future development of the player for a long time to come. After a database update a player may drop below his potential during the time the player is adjusting to the new values.

Player value change

Since the player judgement varies during a season the player estimated value change as well. The value of the player may change even though the judgement remains the same. This is because the changes are too small to change the simplified judgement value. For the best players in the game a relative small change will cause a rather big change in value. This is explained by the fact that among the top players even a tiny change matters.